Thursday, August 3

The worry of Iraq


A memo written by Britain's outgoing ambassador in Baghdad, William Patey, has warned that civil war is a more likely outcome in Iraq than democracy. "The prospect of a low intensity civil war and a de facto division of Iraq is probably more likely at this stage than a successful and substantial transition to a stable democracy," said the memo, which was leaked to the BBC yesterday.

That apart, whatever opinion one might have of the US/UK intervention in Iraq, no one can be under any illusions that there is nothing better that the Bush administration and the British Labour government would like than to be able to pull its troops out of the country, leaving behind it peace, democracy and stability.When push comes to shove, there is only one thing stopping that – groups of evil men intent on murder and mayhem, directed at furthering their own partisan causes. Make no bones about it – no one forces these men to murder. If the murdering stopped, peace and reconstruction would follow. However, quite clearly that is not going to happen in the short term.

The present situation in Iraq is indeed very grim. Leaving matters as they are now is not an option, there are only two realistic choices for 'Alliance' forces both politically and militarily. To leave soon or to stay, probably for ten years or more until political stability has been achieved. To do the latter will require a long term commitment. Regrettably this blog is of the view that the latter option- an issue that we will argue in a posting in the next few days- is the better option in view of all the current circumstances.

It is now very obvious that no one in either Whitehall or Washington properly considered the long term effects following the downfall of Sadam. Now that is something to worry about.

3 comments:

Richard said...

This is goddamned ridiculous. Are you even living in 2006? Your propaganda rag sounds like it was recycled from 2004.

> When push comes to shove, there is only one thing stopping that – groups of evil men intent on murder and mayhem, directed at furthering their own partisan causes. Make no bones about it – no one forces these men to murder.

Oh really? And the fact that the Shia will economically and politically strangle both the Sunni and the Kurds has nothing to do with the Sunni's resistance?

And the fact that the USA has been sucking Iraqi oil and money has nothing to do with anything?

And the fact that the US occupation forces completely and deliberately dismantled Iraq's economy in the name of neo-liberalism has nothing to do with it?

What hallucinogen are you using?? It sounds a lot more potent than even a cool milligram of LSD!!

Goddamn retard.

Peter Troy said...

Richard

And your solution is ?

Whilst I await yourreply I shall just pop off for a cup of Earl Grey.

Kelly said...

Just one thing, what Iraqi oil and what money is the USA sucking? Last time I checked and I do admit it has been at least a couple of months we hadn't been getting any Iraqi oil and we are spending a heck of a lot of money on our military forces in Iraq.

Not sure how you know the potency of LSD but I am with Mr. Troy on this one. I too am going for a cuppa and a biccie.